Kfa Mount Lucas Etf Performance

KMLM Etf  USD 26.20  0.42  1.58%   
The etf owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.29, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, KFA Mount's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding KFA Mount is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Mild

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in KFA Mount Lucas are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very healthy essential indicators, KFA Mount is not utilizing all of its potentials. The recent stock price disarray, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors. ...more
1
KMLM Q3 Review Quiet After the Storm Trend Following Finds Its Footing - KraneShares
11/20/2025
2
Price-Driven Insight from for Rule-Based Strategy - news.stocktradersdaily.com
12/03/2025
3
Tactive Advisors LLC Makes New 815,000 Investment in KraneShares Mount Lucas Managed Futures Index Strategy ETF KMLM
12/24/2025
4
The 5 percent Yield Is Tempting But You Should Know Something Before Buying - Yahoo Finance
01/13/2026
5
KraneShares Mount Lucas Managed Futures Index Strategy ETF Short Interest Up 587.8 percent in January
01/29/2026

KFA Mount Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  2,536  in KFA Mount Lucas on November 8, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  84.00  from holding KFA Mount Lucas or generate 3.31% return on investment over 90 days. KFA Mount Lucas is currently generating 0.0564% in daily expected returns and assumes 0.6458% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 5% of etfs are less volatile than KFA, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days KFA Mount is expected to generate 0.84 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.18 times less risky than the market. It trades about 0.09 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for KFA Mount Lucas extending back to December 02, 2020. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of KFA Mount stands at 26.20, as last reported on the 6th of February, with the highest price reaching 26.49 and the lowest price hitting 26.20 during the day.
3 y Volatility
8.95
200 Day MA
26.5574
1 y Volatility
5.38
50 Day MA
26.4733
Inception Date
2020-12-01
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

KFA Mount Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of KFA Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 26.20 90 days 26.20 
about 22.22
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of KFA Mount to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 22.22 (This KFA Mount Lucas probability density function shows the probability of KFA Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days KFA Mount has a beta of 0.29. This indicates as returns on the market go up, KFA Mount average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding KFA Mount Lucas will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally KFA Mount Lucas has an alpha of 0.0275, implying that it can generate a 0.0275 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   KFA Mount Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for KFA Mount

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as KFA Mount Lucas. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
25.5526.2026.85
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
25.4826.1326.78
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
25.6326.2826.93
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
25.0525.9826.91
Details

KFA Mount Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. KFA Mount is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the KFA Mount's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold KFA Mount Lucas, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of KFA Mount within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.29
σ
Overall volatility
0.51
Ir
Information ratio 0

KFA Mount Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of KFA Mount for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for KFA Mount Lucas can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: KraneShares Mount Lucas Managed Futures Index Strategy ETF Short Interest Up 587.8 percent in January
The fund created three year return of -2.0%
KFA Mount Lucas maintains most of the assets in different exotic instruments.

KFA Mount Fundamentals Growth

KFA Etf prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of KFA Mount, and KFA Mount fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on KFA Etf performance.
Total Asset274.24 M

About KFA Mount Performance

By examining KFA Mount's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into KFA Mount's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that KFA Mount is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
The fund seeks to achieve its goal by investing in commodity, currency, and global fixed income futures contracts traded on U.S. and foreign exchanges that are the same as or similar to those included in the index. Kfa Mount is traded on NYSEARCA Exchange in the United States.
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: KraneShares Mount Lucas Managed Futures Index Strategy ETF Short Interest Up 587.8 percent in January
The fund created three year return of -2.0%
KFA Mount Lucas maintains most of the assets in different exotic instruments.
When determining whether KFA Mount Lucas is a strong investment it is important to analyze KFA Mount's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact KFA Mount's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding KFA Etf, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in KFA Mount Lucas. Also, note that the market value of any etf could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.
You can also try the Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.
The market value of KFA Mount Lucas is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of KFA that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of KFA Mount's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is KFA Mount's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because KFA Mount's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect KFA Mount's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Understanding that KFA Mount's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether KFA Mount represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Meanwhile, KFA Mount's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.